With two weeks until her Budget, Rachel Reeves has received more bad news: unemployment is now at its highest level since the pandemic. With the Chancellor hinting at income tax rises, could this be dangerous for Labour as it increasingly becomes the party of higher earners? Polling suggests the public would lay the blame for tax hikes with Reeves, despite her speech last week.

With threats from a resurgent Green party to the left and Reform to the right, is there an obvious path forward for Labour to win back voters?

James Heale speaks to Michael Simmons and Scarlett Maguire.

Produced by Megan McElroy and James Lewis.

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It seems that the BBC is once again setting the news agenda – via tales of its own incompetence. The Corporation has spent days battling accusations that it aired a doctored clip of a speech by President Trump in a Panorama documentary back in January 2021. The White House Press Secretary has called the Beeb ‘100 per cent fake news’ while Kemi Badenoch has demanded that ‘heads must roll’ ... and now they have. For Tim Davie, the Director-General of the BBC, announced his resignation, alongside Deborah Turness, his senior colleague and CEO of News. But will two scalps be enough?

James Heale speaks to Tim Shipman and Sonia Sodha.

Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

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Isabel Hardman presents highlights from Sunday morning's political shows.

On Remembrance Sunday, Chief of the Defence Staff Sir Richard Knighton says the UK must be prepared against ‘hybrid warfare’, and Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy contends with allegations of BBC bias, Labour cronyism, and mistakenly released prisoners.

Produced by Joe Bedell-Brill.

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What lessons does America have for our politics? While progressives look to Zohran Mamdani for inspiration on how to get elected successfully, the really important question is how to govern effectively. And here it is the Trump administration which is setting the standard, writes Tim Shipman in this week’s cover story. On day one, Donald Trump stepped into the Oval Office ready to ‘move fast and break things’, signing a flurry of executive orders with the backing of unflinching loyalists. Brits who may have been appalled by Trump in his first term are now envious of his administration’s lack of infighting and success in bringing illegal migration to a halt, as well as securing a ceasefire in Gaza, attacking Iranian nuclear sites and applying pressure on Vladimir Putin. Here in Westminster, Labour arrived in government with no clear idea what they were doing or, as things have deteriorated, what to do next.

The Spectator US Editor Freddy Gray speaks to Tim Shipman.

Produced by Megan McElroy.

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A year ago, the Chancellor called her £38 billion tax rise a ‘one-and-done’ move. Now she looks set to rinse and repeat, with reports that a 2p increase in income tax is on the table. According to The Times, she has informed the Office for Budget Responsibility that a rise in personal taxation is one of the ‘major measures’ she will announce. This is the strongest signal yet that she will break Labour's manifesto pledge not to increase income tax rates. What does this mean for the Chancellor, and taxpayers?

Elsewhere, David Lammy suffered a disastrous Deputy Prime Minister's Questions after dodging questions on whether there had been another prisoner let out by mistake. To discuss all the different headaches Labour is facing, Michael Simmons is joined by Tim Shipman and James Heale.

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With three weeks until the Budget, the main political parties have been setting out their economic thinking. Each faces the same bind: anaemic growth, fiscal constraints and uncomfortable exposure to the bond markets. The upshot is that there is less ‘clear blue water’ on the economy between Labour, the Conservatives and Reform.

This has left a space for energy to emerge as the policy area in which to differentiate the parties in this new era of five-party politics. The Westminster energy consensus is over – Net Zero is not as popular as it once was – and the parties are setting out their stalls. Could energy win the next election?

Oscar Edmondson speaks to James Heale and Michael Simmons.

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In a crowded field, today’s could have been the most bizarre PMQs ever.

From David Lammy pronouncing ‘I am the Justice Secretary’ as if it were an affirmation to be chanted in the bathroom mirror, to the wild hair on display on both benches, it surely takes the mantle of parliament at its most ridiculous – and that’s not to mention the story that another convict has escaped from prison. Has David Lammy got a grip on mistaken prison release? And – more importantly – does he have the support of his colleagues?

James Heale speaks to Tim Shipman and Isabel Hardman.

Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

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It is three weeks until the Budget – and Rachel Reeves wants to get her narrative out there. The Chancellor held an early morning press conference today to, in her words, ‘set out the circumstances and the principles’ guiding her thinking on 26 November.

Her speech followed a familiar pattern. First, there was the evisceration of the ‘austerity’, ‘reckless borrowing’ and ‘stop go of public investment’ which characterised the last 14 years. In her 25-minute speech in Downing Street, one line in particular stood out: ‘If we are to build the future of Britain together’, Reeves said, ‘we will all have to contribute to that effort. Each of us must do our bit.’

Crucially, she refused to rule out breaking her manifesto pledge not to raise income tax, national insurance or VAT. Megan McElroy discusses the groundwork she's laying for the budget with James Heale and Michael Simmons.

See the graph Michael refers to here: https://data.spectator.co.uk/polls

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