As El Nino starts to ramp up, we're seeing record breaking indicators of a rough next 12 months:

‘Jaw-dropping’ El Niño bursts through temperature record months before peak | El Niño southern oscillation | The Guardian

Huge El Niño projected to cause more than 450,000 deaths by February | El Niño southern oscillation | The Guardian

news.mongabay.com/2026/09/global-ocean-breaks-records-with-100-days-of-heat-as-el-nino-adds-new-threat/amp/

Sea dragon populations decimated in ‘mind-blowing’ mass mortality event caused by South Australian algal bloom | South Australian algal bloom | The Guardian

With millions of dead oysters and mounting debt, P.E.I. farmers fear they'll lose everything | CBC Radio

Hurricane Polo intensifies into Category 5 storm, fueling Southwest flood threat | Fox Weather

The Atmosphere Just Set a Water Vapor Record

El Niño and global heating pushes water vapour in Earth’s atmosphere to record levels in August | Environment | The Guardian

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A short one today. I was angry and needed to take a break.

E.P.A. Will Erase Limits on Climate Pollution From Power Plants - The New York Times

Prime Minister Carney introduces new Productivity Mega Deduction to boost Canada’s advantage as the most competitive G7 country for new business investment | Prime Minister of Canada

Canada’s Changing Climate Report 2026: Headline statements - Canada.ca

Exxon raises 2050 global emissions forecast, sees slower coal decline | Reuters

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A deeper look at the oil/diesel availability crisis around the world:

Some Gas Stations ‘Out of Diesel’ as Prices Surge - Newsweek

Oil: What next as Saudi Arabia scrambles to restore East-West pipeline

Saudis tell European refiners they’ll get no crude next month | Financial Post

The Depletion Ledger — The Oil Supply Crisis

Costco Is Rationing Oil And Doubling Its Price As Supply Dwindles

Skyrocketing fuel prices spark protests around the globe | CNN

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Winter is coming, and with it many challenges.

Winter is Coming for Diesel | Rigzone

"There is no money." Russian farmers began to massively refuse to sow winter wheat - Russian Service of The Moscow Times

61% of French groundwater monitoring points sit below normal, up from 44% a year ago. The autumn rain everyone is waiting for mostly will not reach the aquifer. : r/collapse

Panama canal traffic facing further cuts as drought from El Niño worsens | Panama canal | The Guardian

Kelvin Waves: What they are, and why they pose a threat to Southern California : r/collapse

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Sources:

Trump erupts at Supreme Court for being ‘bullied by the Radical Left’ after mail-in ballot ruling | The Independent

Trump Makes Crowd Swear Pledge to “Cheat Like Hell” This Election | The New Republic

Bush-Appointed Judge J. Michael Luttig Warns of ‘Another Jan. 6’ After Midterms

WATCH: Blumenthal asks Patel to commit to not sending FBI agents to polling places on Election Day | PBS News : r/law

The IRS shared info it shouldn’t have with ICE. What now?

Homeland Security officers are illegally accessing state voter data, new whistleblower alleges - Democracy Docket

Former US detention officer charged with 20 counts of felony forgery | North Carolina | The Guardian

ICE Attacks Two U.S. Citizen Minors on Their Way to Enlist in Marines | The New Republic

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The rate at which the planet is heating is accelerating. Models haven't taken this into account, so when do we hit climate sensitivity, and how hot will that be?

Post by @climatecasino.net — Bluesky

Climate ‘feedback loops’ could worsen global warming by 30%, study finds | Climate crisis | The Guardian

The Arctic melt season is now more than a month longer than it was in the 1980s, new research on sea ice trends shows

The U.S. just had its hottest summer on record, NOAA says - CBS News

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AI is an increasingly divisive topic, even (or especially) among collapse aware folk. How seriously should we take its development?

Anthropic Researcher Quit, Says AI Labs Are 'Gambling With Our Lives' - Business Insider

Flock Wants a Closely Surveilled World with No Exit | The New Yorker

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Today we take a look at the bottom of the marine food chain, where new research indicates things aren't looking to great:

Climate change may erase 25 million hectares of kelp forests by 2050

Seaweed carbon removal cannot keep up with climate-driven loss | PLOS Biology

Projected declines in zooplankton energy supporting Northwest European Shelf ecosystems | Communications Earth & Environment

s43247-026-03840-1_reference.pdf (PDF)

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