• She Didn't Look Like a Veteran in Crisis. That Was the Problem.
    Sep 22 2026
    Sam Hargrove spent years being known for her smile — while privately battling a rage she couldn't explain, seven rounds of anger management, and a night she nearly drove her car into a tree. A communications specialist caught in an explosion in Iraq, Sam faced a specific kind of dismissal on top of everything else: "ain't nothing wrong with you," the running joke aimed at a "chair force" veteran who didn't fit anyone's picture of what combat trauma looks like. This conversation covers the explosion, the personality change that followed, the moment her godson saw her rage and got scared, the night in the rain that nearly ended differently, and how Wounded Warrior Project's Warrior Care Network and an inpatient program at Emory gave her the follow-up care the VA's "initial push" didn't. She's now a WWP peer leader and national campaign team member — someone other veterans call at 3 a.m. If you or someone you know is in crisis, call or text 988 (Suicide & Crisis Lifeline), or reach the Veterans Crisis Line at 988, press 1. This is Episode 3 of Still Here, a five-part series produced in partnership with Wounded Warrior Project for Suicide Prevention Awareness Month. Catch up with Episode 1 (Zach) and Episode 2 (Lindsey) if you haven't yet. Episode 4 — Joe, a fellow Green Beret whose story takes a very different turn — drops this Sunday. Chapters: 0:00 Cold open & recap of the series so far 1:06 Welcome, and introducing Sam 1:37 A generational connection: same war, different era 2:54 Setting the scene: an explosion in Iraq 3:20 Seven anger management classes, and the day her godson saw her rage 6:15 "Black female in the chair force": identity, stigma, and the VA 6:58 "Ain't nothing wrong with you" — the running joke 8:44 The explosion itself, and what she still doesn't know 9:31 How the rage and drinking built over time 10:36 "Shut up and color": why she never sought help in uniform 12:33 A hair-trigger she couldn't explain 13:23 Coming home: losing the Fourth of July 14:16 The night she decided to end it 16:45 What was scarier: dying, or asking for help 17:25 VA vs. Wounded Warrior Project: why follow-up mattered 18:35 Inside the Emory inpatient program 21:28 Her Emory circle vs. her military circle 22:17 Losing people to suicide, including an uncle in November 24:29 "He wasn't weak, he just couldn't fight anymore" 26:43 What to do if you're worried about someone 28:17 "Check on your happy friends" 29:55 Next week: Joe's story Learn more about Wounded Warrior Project: woundedwarriorproject.org This episode is brought to you by Grayzone Advisory. At the Water's Edge is hosted by Scott Kelly. Follow for weekly conversations on national security, geopolitics, and the people who serve.
    Show More Show Less
    30 mins
  • What Happens If the US Uses a Nuclear Weapon on Iran | Robert Pape
    Sep 21 2026
    University of Chicago professor Robert Pape (Bombing to Win, The Escalation Trap) is back for his weekly read on the U.S.-Iran conflict — and this one goes to a darker place than usual. Pape lays out how Iran is quietly becoming an oil hegemon through the Houthis and Iraqi militias, why the IRGC's threat to "shock the world" might be a signal about Pickaxe Mountain, and what actually happens — militarily, economically, and politically — if the U.S. or Israel uses a tactical nuclear weapon to try to end it. Scott and Pape also cover the 5-stage escalation trap framework, the case for offshore balancing, a possible Korean-style armistice in Ukraine, and whether recent U.S. strikes could constitute war crimes. Topics: 01:09 — Iran's rise as an oil hegemon 08:30 — Inside Pickaxe Mountain: can we even reach it? 14:59 — The case against a tactical nuclear strike 18:25 — Breaking the taboo: America as global pariah 24:48 — Political fallout and the road to a ground war 37:03 — The escalation trap, explained 46:08 — Europe, Ukraine, and the case for an armistice 52:00 — War crimes, morality, and power Follow Robert Pape's analysis at escalationtrap.substack.com. Pape returns Thursday to preview his new book, Our Own Worst Enemies. Subscribe to At the Water's Edge on Substack: substack.com/@scottatthewatersedgeorg
    Show More Show Less
    58 mins
  • The Houthis Just Dragged Europe Into the Iran War
    Sep 18 2026
    The Houthis just took the entire Red Sea coastline — and it's about to drag Europe into a war it wanted no part of. In ten days, Houthi forces captured Yemen's Red Sea coast, seized the strait's key islands, and helped force the shutdown of Saudi Arabia's emergency oil pipeline — closing the second major chokepoint Saudi Arabia needs to move crude, right after Hormuz. Brent crude is over $107 a barrel. The U.S. Navy is stretched across two flashpoints with one fleet. Saudi Arabia asked Washington for strikes and got turned down — twice — the same way Trump got turned down by the Gulf states six months ago. So Riyadh turned to an unlikely partner: Israel, now sharing intelligence with Saudi Arabia against a common enemy. And Europe, heading into winter with gas storage at its lowest level in 15 years, is watching Italy break from Brussels and send warships to the strait alone. Scott breaks down how a regional shipping crisis turns into a transatlantic energy emergency — and asks the uncomfortable question: did anyone benefit from letting this happen? Topics covered: the Houthi offensive and timeline · the oil market shock · why the U.S. Navy is tapped out · the Trump-Saudi "two no's" · Israel's quiet pivot into Saudi intelligence sharing · Europe's winter energy squeeze · Italy's unilateral naval deployment Enjoyed this one? Like, subscribe, and share it with a friend. For the full briefing deck behind this episode and more, subscribe on Substack: https://substack.com/@scottatthewatersedgeorg
    Show More Show Less
    16 mins
  • The Neuroscience of Suicidal Ideation: Why the Brain Can't See a Way Out
    Sep 17 2026
    What's actually happening in someone's brain in the moments before they decide to end their life? Lindsey Gray, Suicide Prevention Manager at Wounded Warrior Project, breaks down the neuroscience — why the prefrontal cortex goes offline, why the amygdala floods the system with threat signals, and why suicide isn't a character failure but, as she puts it, "a breakdown in the brain." This conversation covers the gradient from passive ideation to active planning, a counterintuitive finding on combat exposure and resilience, why alcohol lowers the barrier between thinking about suicide and acting on it, and the ASIST model — the actual evidence-based framework for intervening with someone in crisis. Scott also shares the story of Dan, a soldier under his command, and what he wishes he'd known then. If you or someone you know is in crisis, call or text 988 (Suicide & Crisis Lifeline), or reach the Veterans Crisis Line at 988, press 1. This is Episode 2 of Still Here, a five-part series produced in partnership with Wounded Warrior Project for Suicide Prevention Awareness Month. If you haven't heard Episode 1 — Zach Tidwell's story — start there. Episode 3 drops next week. Chapters: 0:00 Cold open & recap of Zach's episode 1:03 Welcome, and what Lindsey does at WWP 1:41 What is a "suicide safer community"? 2:13 What's happening in the brain when someone decides to die 4:00 Weakness or a broken brain? Reframing the stigma 5:51 Scott's story: a spike in suicidal ideation in his battalion 6:39 The gradient from ideation to action 8:27 Military culture, the "22 a day" debate, and the combat-exposure surprise 12:09 Fort Drum, demographics, and comparing veteran and civilian suicide rates 14:25 Getting upstream: what prevention actually looks like 16:33 Warning signs, and why arguing someone out of it backfires 18:27 "Time and distance saves lives" 19:56 Scott's story: Dan, and a checklist that wasn't the answer 21:20 ASIST: the actual model for intervention 23:09 Who's best positioned to help, and building a network of five 25:32 Alcohol's role in lowering the barrier to act 26:47 How to approach someone, and where to point them for help 29:00 Closing thoughts Learn more about Wounded Warrior Project: woundedwarriorproject.org This episode is brought to you by Grayzone Advisory. At the Water's Edge is hosted by Scott Kelly. Follow for weekly conversations on national security, geopolitics, and the people who serve.
    Show More Show Less
    30 mins
  • October 7 Was “A Reenactment,” Not a Rupture | Robert Malley
    Sep 14 2026
    Rob Malley has spent three decades inside the peace process he now argues was never built to succeed. He negotiated at Camp David under President Clinton, led Obama's Iran nuclear negotiations that produced the JCPOA, served as Biden's Special Envoy for Iran, and ran the International Crisis Group. He's now a Senior Fellow and Lecturer at Yale's Jackson School and co-author, with Hussein Agha, of Tomorrow Is Yesterday: Life, Death, and the Pursuit of Peace in Israel/Palestine. In this conversation, Scott and Malley cover: Why the twin caricatures of Palestinians and Iranians — irrational zealots on one hand, rational actors who'll cave under enough pressure on the other — are both wrong Why Malley argues October 7 wasn't a rupture from the past, but a reenactment of it What three decades of U.S.-mediated peace talks got wrong about the conflict from the start Three failed American approaches to Iran — diplomacy, sanctions, military force — and which one actually worked Whether international law means anything after the U.S.'s own record of violating it Why Israel's influence over American politics has been so durable, and why Malley thinks that's finally starting to shift What comes next for Gaza and the West Bank if the current trajectory holds More from At the Water's Edge: ⁠https://substack.com/@scottatthewatersedgeorg⁠ Malley's book, Tomorrow Is Yesterday, is out now. https://www.amazon.com/Tomorrow-Yesterday-Pursuit-Israel-Palestine/dp/0374617120/ref=sr_1_1?dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.xXGA2LVaN84oK2HTqL0ZafM_ffC2qb0JcTzYRXwxYYruV7giWAcghjS_mCTijJO7ifqpr_rfyp9RaWXbHb9QEXkJ_WN8If_d9vDNoEVAz8vBZHr9CnQYeBZddsj59cPDMEFx7wja1QjVF0PPUm-jlHP8t7otOxcvsDbnY8EFaKb1_da3s0oLUHaY6qTl4OmtpFoZEobh1gjLsUweCGw9VoooRbweo-geXkoVnAuFQR4.IEQ9K_vB2pz9c_3zhVHO8UTil5XOFXOY3VjNKp-cC5c&dib_tag=se&hvadid=693803539913&hvdev=c&hvexpln=67&hvlocphy=9005070&hvnetw=g&hvocijid=3083797136747453616--&hvqmt=e&hvrand=3083797136747453616&hvtargid=kwd-2443396325718&hydadcr=22537_13531293&keywords=robert+malley+book&mcid=cd77b3f36d583266b3b283bcc5466f73&qid=1789409486&sr=8-1
    Show More Show Less
    59 mins
  • Iran Now Controls the Red Sea's Only Oil Bypass | Robert Pape
    Sep 13 2026
    The Houthis have seized control of the Red Sea and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait — and with the US Navy already stretched thin in the Strait of Hormuz, there's no clear path to reopening it. Professor Robert Pape returns to break down how we got here: Iran's methodical, multi-pronged campaign to choke off all three of the world's remaining oil buffers (the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Chinese import capacity, and now the Red Sea), and why he believes this is playing out exactly as he predicted back in June. In this episode: How the Iran-backed pipeline attack and Saudi shutdown fit into a broader strategy dating back to July Why "hammer and anvil" military doctrine explains why airstrikes alone won't dislodge the Houthis Pape's read on the "Pickaxe Mountain" reports and what they could signal heading into October What rising gas prices and a climbing 10-year Treasury yield mean for the US economy in the months ahead What Pape heard directly from EU officials in Brussels about Europe's actual priorities right now Got a question for Professor Pape? Send it to [askrobertpape@gmail.com] and we may cover it in a future episode. More analysis at our Substack: https://substack.com/@scottatthewatersedgeorg
    Show More Show Less
    54 mins
  • Bin Laden Lost the War. America is Still Paying the Price
    Sep 11 2026
    Twenty-five years after 9/11, one question still doesn't have a clean answer: did Osama bin Laden actually win? In this solo episode, Scott Kelly goes goal-by-goal through what bin Laden said he wanted — U.S. troops out of Saudi Arabia, an end to support for Israel, toppled Arab regimes, a global caliphate, and an America bled into bankruptcy — and scores each one against what actually happened over the next 25 years. Then he traces the real cost of the response: the wars in Afghanistan, Iraq, and against ISIS, the $12.9 trillion bill, the institutions built in the aftermath (the DNI, the AUMF, an unaccountable executive war power), and how the current war with Iran might be finishing what bin Laden started — or giving a dead terrorist too much credit for America's own choices. What's covered: The four goals bin Laden laid out — and which ones actually happened 940,000+ direct war deaths, 30,000+ post-9/11 veteran suicides, and a bill that keeps growing How the Global War on Terror rewired U.S. intelligence, special operations, and the balance of war powers between Congress and the president The case that bin Laden won a "structural" victory even in tactical defeat — and the case that this is all self-inflicted Where the Iran war, the AUMF, and alliance strain fit into the 25-year scorecard
    Show More Show Less
    27 mins
  • He Wanted to Die. Surviving Changed Everything
    Sep 10 2026
    Zach Tidwell enlisted in the Marine Corps wanting to go to war — and missed it. What followed was an affair, a traumatic brain injury, and a depression he refused to talk about, convinced he could just decide his way through it the same way he'd decided his way through infantry training. In March 2019, that ended with a suicide attempt that left him blind and partially deaf. In this conversation, Zach walks through all of it: the attempt itself, waking up in the hospital, a second wave of depression a year later that he handled differently, a two-and-a-half-year battle with alcoholism, a diagnosis of Huntington's disease, and how he's since built a life that includes jiu-jitsu, competitive marksmanship, a software company, and a memoir. If you or someone you know is in crisis, call or text 988 (Suicide & Crisis Lifeline), or reach the Veterans Crisis Line at 988, press 1. This is Episode 1 of Still Here, a five-part series produced in partnership with Wounded Warrior Project for Suicide Prevention Awareness Month. Episode 2 — Lindsey Gray, WWP's Suicide Prevention Manager, on the brain science behind these choices — drops next week. Chapters: 0:00 Cold open & content warning 1:35 Welcome, and blindness's hidden challenge: no sleep 2:36 Marine infantry life, and deployments that missed the war 5:05 A shared frustration: Scott's own near-miss with combat 7:40 The unraveling: infidelity, a TBI, and refusing to ask for help 13:41 The night of the attempt 16:48 No warning signs, and the gap between decision and execution 19:11 Waking up blind: hospital, hallucinations, and the diagnosis 22:57 Still a marksman: shooting steel at 1,000 yards, blind 25:49 Choosing to stay alive: "it takes a bullet to clear your head" 28:58 The second collapse: depression returns in 2020 32:58 Rebuilding trust with his parents 35:22 Years of turmoil: discrimination, alcoholism, and a Huntington's diagnosis 38:44 Coming back: teaching himself to code, building a business 42:58 Community, isolation, and finding jiu-jitsu 48:52 Family history of suicide and the "gear" mentality 51:13 The warning sign to watch for 52:49 Looking back with empathy 54:41 Living on a clock: what's next 57:38 Closing thoughts 58:19 Next week: breaking down the science Learn more about Wounded Warrior Project: woundedwarriorproject.org Hear more from Zach on his own podcast, Going In Blind: https://www.youtube.com/@ZachCTidwell This episode is brought to you by Grayzone Advisory. At the Water's Edge is hosted by Scott Kelly. Follow for weekly conversations on national security, geopolitics, and the people who serve.
    Show More Show Less
    59 mins