• Software Engineering Job Postings in 2025 And What To Do About It

  • Feb 21 2025
  • Length: 15 mins
  • Podcast

Software Engineering Job Postings in 2025 And What To Do About It

  • Summary

  • Software Development Job Market in 2025: Challenges & OpportunitiesMarket Downturn AnalysisInterest Rate Impact
    • Fed rates rose from ~0% to 5%, ending era of "free money" for VCs
    • Job postings dropped to COVID-era levels (index ~60) from 2022 peak (index ~220)
    • High rates reducing startup funding and venture capital activity
    Monopoly Effects
    • Big tech companies engaged in defensive hiring to block competitors
    • Market distortions from trillion-dollar companies with limited competition
    • Regulatory failure to break up tech monopolies contributed to hiring instability
    AI Impact Reality Check
    • LLMs primarily boost senior developer productivity
    • No evidence of AI replacing programming jobs
    • Tool comparison: Similar to Stack Overflow or programming books
    • Benefits experienced developers most; requires deep domain knowledge
    Economic Headwinds
    • Tariff threats driving continued inflation
    • Government workforce reductions adding job seekers to market
    • AI investment showing weak ROI
    • Growing competition in AI space (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, etc.) reducing profit potential
    OpportunitiesValue-Based Skills
    • Focus on cost reduction and efficiency
    • Build solutions 100-1000x cheaper
    • Target performance-critical systems
    • Learn Rust for system optimization
    Independent Business
    • Solo companies more viable with:
      • LLM assistance for faster development
      • Cloud infrastructure availability
      • Ready-made payment systems
      • API composability
    Geographic Strategy
    • Consider lower cost US regions
    • Explore international locations with high living standards
    • Remote work enabling location flexibility
    Market Positioning
    • Consulting opportunities from over-firing
    • Focus on cost-saving technologies
    • Build multiple revenue streams
    • Target sectors needing operational efficiency

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